October 2016 Newsletter

October 2016 Newsletter

REAL ESTATE INVENTORY AND SALES BY PRICE

Last month we looked at the various price brackets which homes were selling for (or not in some cases) in the 5 areas (Beaufort, Port Royal, Moss Oaks, Lady’s Island and Burton) which we monitor. It was interesting but not surprising to see the difference in sales numbers the further we went up the price scale. This month I thought it might be of interest to look, by price bracket, at the number of homes sold in the last 12 months in the same 5 areas and using a single date in September compare the inventory on that date and a similar date the previous year.

Price Range Inventory

 

Inventory

 

12 Months of Sales

2015/16

Monthly Sales Rate
Sept 16/15 Sept 12/16  9/16/15-9/12/16
        $0 to $99,999 20 10 61 5.08
$100,000 to $199,999 85 51 328 27.3
$200,000 to $299,999 108 96 346 28.8
$300,000 to $399,999 65 62 97 7.75
$400,000 to $499,999 52 41 51 4.25
$500,000 to $599,999 22 34 21 1.75
$600,000 to $699,999 18 21 14 1.25
$700,000 to $799,999 13 10 8 0.66
$800,000 to $899,999 7 9 4 0.33
$900,000 to $999,999 9 7 4 0.33
$1,000,000 and up. 19 24 5 0.41
Totals      418 – 9.6%      365 – 12.7% (871) 939 + 7.8% 78.25

As to the question of inventory, based on the data in the above chart, the number of houses available in the areas we monitor is decreasing between 10% and 13% every 12 months. This decrease is primarily occurring in homes priced under $500,000. The number of homes in the over $500,000 price range is actually showing a slight increase. The number of overall sales occurring in the same area over the last 12 months has increased by almost 8%.

Readers of the LIBPA newsletter each month, and those who follow real estate in general, will know that sales have increased over the last 2-3 years. They are also familiar with the fact that following the real estate and financial collapse starting in 2006 homebuilders drastically reduced the number of new homes under construction.  So the increasing decline in the number of available homes for sale should not be a surprise..

There is a stark difference when comparing the time to sell a home in the $100,000 to $199,000 (1.86 months) to homes over $1,000,000 (58.53) months! One would except property under $100K would sell the fastest but that range took 1.96 months on average to sell. This slight increase may be due to the lack of inventory in the “up to $99,000”. At 3.3 months the $200,000 to $299,000 range is also a very short time frame. The “normal” national inventory is around five months’ worth of homes for sale. Step up to the next price range of $300,000 – $399,999 and we see a huge difference in monthly inventory (8 months’ worth). This increases the further up the price range we go, to the ($1,000,000 and up) with 58.5 months of inventory available on September 16th 2016. This difference in monthly inventories should not be that surprising, as there are a lot less buyers the further up the scale we go.

Finally, the question of where is the sweet spot in today’s local real estate market is best answered by the fact that 82% of all of the homes sold in the last 12 months in the 5 areas we monitor were in the $400,000 and under range. When considering selling your home please work with a Realtor to determine the best and most realistic price because having the correct price can make all of the difference in the time the house will remain on the market.

By Everett Ballenger Owner/B.I.C Ballenger Realty. Former President of Beaufort County Association of Realtors.